I am amazed at the number of Fort Hill fans that think Fort Hills defense will hold Catoctin to only two touchdowns. Williamsport and Brunswick scored three touchdowns against FH and Catoctin killed both of them. I hope they are right but I don’t see Fort hill being able to stop them unless Catoctin makes mistakes If Fort hill can hold them to two touchdowns it will be a blowout
First, I think it will be a good game, but I still believe FH is two touchdowns better.
Secondly, let's look at some scores of common opponents throughout the season.
FH beat Mountain Ridge 56-7 in week #1.
Catoctin beat Mountain Ridge 43-0 in week #2.
Catoctin beat Southern 46-21 in week #5.
FH beat Southern 55-0 in week #6.
Catoctin beat Williamsport 49-6 in week #8.
FH beat Williamsport 64-22 in week #11.
Catoctin beat Brunswick 49-28 in week #9.
FH beat Brunswick 35-21 in week #10.
Against common opponents, FH's average score was 52.5, and the Sentinels' average opponents' score was 12.5.
Against common opponents, Catoctin's average score was 46.75, and the Cougars' average opponents' score was 13.75.
If I throw in the second game Catoctin played against Southern in week #10, than the average of the two games would be 49.5-13.5.
When figured into the cumulative average, Catoction averaged 47.625 points per game, and their opponents averaged 11.875 points per game.
FH averaged about 5 more points per game against common opponents, and Catoction gave up either one point more or one point less per game against common opponents depending on if you only count them playing Southern once or twice.
Based on those averages against common opponents, FH is a 3-4 point favorite.
Calpreps currently has FH 38 - Catoctin 35.
It will be a good game.
For those who attend, win or lose, please show good sportsmanship.
Happy Thanksgiving to All!