Class 1A West Final Projections - Week 6

[TDHelmick]

I have put together some pretty close projections on how the final point standings will work out for the 1A West.
http://forthillfootball.net/schedules/2019/projections.htm

Here are the current point totals through Week 6:
http://forthillfootball.net/schedules/2019/mpssaa_1A_west.htm

It will be close with FH and Catoctin for the top seed. FH would need an upset or two by their beaten opponents to overtake them. I know Catoctin lost this past weekend and FH over jumped them to take back the top seed. But that will likely change back next week if Catoctin beats Williamsport.

But the important part when looking at all of Class 1A was that Walkersville beat Catoctin this weekend. What that does is set up this seeding for all of Class 1A.

1. Dunbar
2. Catoctin
3. Fort Hill
4. Gwynn Park / Fairmont Heights / Cambridge / Edmondson / ???

In short, neither FH nor Catoctin will have to travel to Dunbar, they can only play them in Annapolis - but the Poets will wind up the No. 1 seed overall.

I will update this projection every Sunday along with the current official 1A West Point Standings.

Keep in mind I use CalPreps to determine future outcomes that make these projections. Here are some of the more cruicial (close call) games that will determine the seeds which I'm not 100% secure with projecting the outcome or the CalPreps projection.

BIG SEED GAMES

WEEK 7
St. John's Prep at Clear Spring
Northern at Mountain Ridge

WEEK 8
Allegany at Northern
Boonsboro at South Hagerstown
Clear Spring at Southern
Mountain Ridge at Williamsport

WEEK 9
Clear Spring at Berkeley Springs

Clear Spring can actually win out the rest of the year and really make a jump. All their remaining games are winnable or loseable. Northern and Mountain Ridge is a big game in Frostburg this week for playoff positioning. Allegany is not out of the playoffs just yet. All they need to do is win one of their next 3 games to get in. Their best shot would appear to be at Northern.

 

[Waggle Pass]

Dunbar plays Edmondson in week 8. Poets will be a big favorite, but it's a game that bears watching.

 

[Blueandgold45]

Looking at 1A as whole, Dunbar is down this year, not one of the better teams in past 5 years. Looking at what could happen in the 1A playoffs 2 teams could give Fort Hill Fits if they make it or matchup in playoffs.
Gwynn Park, Catoctin. Just my opinion so dont shoot messenger

 

[BrianH1974]

I know most of us wear red blinders, but I dont think anyone is dumb enough to believe that there is a team in 1A that is invincible this season including FH. If a team like Catoctin or Gwynn Park was to make a run for all the marbles this might be the year. But I still think FH and Dunbar are the favorites still.